Espoir vs Ader analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espoir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
BOU
0 - 1
ESP
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2020 |
ESP
2 - 1
OLY
35%
28%
36%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
ESP
2 - 1
URA
35%
29%
36%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
ASF
3 - 0
ESP
66%
20%
15%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
POL
0 - 1
ESP
65%
21%
15%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Ader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
OLY
0 - 0
ADE
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
ADE
0 - 0
URA
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2020 |
ADE
0 - 1
JAN
46%
25%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
ADE
1 - 2
BOU
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
NIG
4 - 0
ADE
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |