Espoir Mutimbuzi vs Maniema Fantastique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espoir Mutimbuzi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
LLB
1 - 1
ESM
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ESM
1 - 1
INT
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
VIT
6 - 0
ESM
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
ROY
1 - 1
ESM
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
ESM
1 - 0
TCH
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Maniema Fantastique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
FLA
5 - 1
MAF
51%
24%
26%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
USP
0 - 2
MAF
58%
22%
21%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +3 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
MAF
0 - 2
MUZ
47%
24%
30%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
MAF
0 - 6
LLB
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
MAF
0 - 4
VIT
53%
23%
23%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -2 |