Espinho vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
13.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
LEC
2 - 0
ESP
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
ESP
2 - 0
MAI
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
VAR
0 - 1
ESP
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
ESP
0 - 0
GFC
49%
27%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1998 |
SAN
1 - 1
ESP
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1998 |
BEL
2 - 0
UNM
67%
20%
12%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
UNM
0 - 1
MOR
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
LEC
2 - 0
UNM
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
UNM
1 - 2
MAI
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1998 |
VAR
2 - 1
UNM
56%
25%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |