Espinho vs Tourizense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CES
0 - 1
ESP
18%
23%
59%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 0
BUS
80%
14%
7%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ANA
0 - 0
ESP
23%
25%
53%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
AVA
0 - 3
ESP
13%
19%
68%
|
60 | 32 | 28 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 0
SOU
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 34 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
BUS
0 - 2
TOU
38%
24%
38%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
TOU
3 - 3
SOU
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BEN
2 - 1
TOU
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
TOU
1 - 1
ORI
18%
22%
60%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TOU
1 - 1
PAM
62%
22%
17%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |