Espinho vs Penalva Castelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ESP
0 - 4
BOA
8%
17%
75%
|
42 | 71 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
COI
2 - 0
ESP
26%
26%
48%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2018 |
ESP
0 - 0
PAR
78%
15%
6%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CIN
1 - 1
ESP
26%
26%
48%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 1
ESP
27%
27%
46%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Penalva Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 5
LUS
21%
25%
53%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
AMA
3 - 0
PEN
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 1
MAR
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SPO
0 - 1
PEN
9%
15%
76%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 1
SAN
16%
19%
66%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +3 |