Espinho vs Gafanha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
LUS
0 - 0
ESP
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 1
CES
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
LEC
0 - 1
ESP
11%
20%
69%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ESP
2 - 1
PEN
79%
14%
8%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ESP
0 - 4
BOA
8%
17%
75%
|
42 | 71 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Gafanha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
GAF
0 - 2
AMA
36%
27%
38%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
LUS
5 - 0
GAF
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
GAF
0 - 2
GON
35%
27%
38%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
SPO
0 - 3
GAF
7%
15%
78%
|
41 | 10 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
GAF
0 - 1
UNM
19%
25%
56%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |