Espinho vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
70.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1980 |
RIO
0 - 2
ESP
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
ESP
0 - 1
VST
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
SLB
4 - 3
ESP
94%
5%
2%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
ESP
2 - 1
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
SPB
2 - 1
ESP
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1980 |
FCP
2 - 0
BOA
82%
13%
6%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
VAR
0 - 0
FCP
20%
28%
53%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
FCP
1 - 1
SCP
63%
21%
16%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
FCP
3 - 0
MAR
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCP
23%
28%
49%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |