El Espinar-San Rafael vs Sporting Nava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
27.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Espinar-San Rafael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ESR
9 - 0
CAB
93%
5%
2%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 0
ESR
16%
18%
66%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ESR
1 - 1
RSI
47%
19%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 1
ESR
18%
18%
64%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ESR
0 - 0
COC
49%
20%
31%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Nava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 2
ASU
52%
23%
25%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ASU
3 - 2
TUR
65%
18%
17%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ASU
2 - 0
MOZ
64%
19%
17%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 2
ASU
41%
23%
36%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
UNA
2 - 5
ASU
20%
19%
61%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |