Rondoniense Inicial . Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Espigão vs Vilhena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
38.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espigão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
ESP
8 - 1
CRU
79%
14%
8%
|
31 | 5 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
ESP
1 - 1
ARI
50%
23%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
GEN
1 - 3
ESP
39%
24%
38%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
SHA
1 - 2
ESP
31%
23%
46%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ESP
3 - 1
ROL
43%
24%
33%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +3 |
Matches
Vilhena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
MOT
0 - 1
VIL
21%
22%
57%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
VIL
3 - 0
SHA
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ARI
1 - 1
VIL
33%
24%
43%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
VIL
5 - 0
CRU
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 5 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
GEN
1 - 3
VIL
31%
24%
46%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |