Esperanza Macarena vs Santiponce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esperanza Macarena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 0
ESP
41%
23%
36%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 1
VIL
30%
24%
46%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
AZN
0 - 3
ESP
32%
24%
44%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
AND
2 - 1
ESP
55%
22%
23%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ESP
4 - 1
MUR
78%
15%
7%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Santiponce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 0
VAL
65%
19%
16%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ANA
3 - 0
SAN
71%
17%
12%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 2
PIN
26%
24%
50%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
TRI
2 - 1
SAN
72%
17%
12%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 3
AZN
19%
21%
60%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |