ES Tunis vs Etoile Metlaoui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ETO
1 - 1
ESP
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CSS
0 - 0
ESP
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -8 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
HOR
2 - 1
ESP
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +7 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
ESP
3 - 1
HOR
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ESP
2 - 0
BEN
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Etoile Metlaoui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
CLU
2 - 0
ETO
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ETO
0 - 1
ETO
29%
28%
43%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +4 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ETO
3 - 1
CSS
46%
29%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -4 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
BEN
0 - 1
ETO
42%
28%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ETO
0 - 2
ESP
44%
29%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |