LaLiga Round 4

Espanyol vs Celta analysis

Espanyol Celta
82 ELO 74
2.7% Tilt -5.7%
95º General ELO ranking 60º
18º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
70.9%
Espanyol
18.7%
Draw
10.4%
Celta

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
Espanyol
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.4%
Win probability
Celta
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Espanyol
+9%
+4%
Celta

ELO progression

Espanyol
Celta
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Espanyol
Espanyol
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Sep. 1976
VCF
Valencia
4 - 1
Espanyol
ESP
49%
26%
25%
82 80 2 0
15 Sep. 1976
ESP
Espanyol
3 - 1
Nice
NIC
60%
20%
20%
81 81 0 +1
12 Sep. 1976
ESP
Espanyol
2 - 0
Real Zaragoza
ZAR
62%
21%
16%
81 80 1 0
05 Sep. 1976
BUR
Burgos
1 - 2
Espanyol
ESP
42%
28%
31%
81 70 11 0
05 Jun. 1976
ESP
Espanyol
2 - 1
Real Betis
BET
66%
18%
16%
81 77 4 0

Matches

Celta
Celta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 1976
CEL
Celta
2 - 0
Real Unión Club
RUN
77%
14%
9%
75 45 30 0
19 Sep. 1976
CEL
Celta
1 - 0
Real Sociedad
RSO
48%
27%
25%
74 78 4 +1
12 Sep. 1976
CEL
Celta
1 - 0
Atlético
ATM
27%
29%
44%
74 86 12 0
05 Sep. 1976
VCF
Valencia
2 - 0
Celta
CEL
67%
21%
12%
74 80 6 0
06 Jun. 1976
REC
Recreativo
2 - 2
Celta
CEL
38%
33%
30%
74 61 13 0