LaLiga Round 12

Espanyol vs Celta analysis

Espanyol Celta
79 ELO 81
13.1% Tilt -1.5%
94º General ELO ranking 59º
18º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
50.7%
Espanyol
21%
Draw
28.3%
Celta

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
Espanyol
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
28.3%
Win probability
Celta
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Espanyol
+10%
+4%
Celta

ELO progression

Espanyol
Celta
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Espanyol
Espanyol
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 1950
RAC
Racing
4 - 3
Espanyol
ESP
63%
18%
19%
78 75 3 0
12 Nov. 1950
ESP
Espanyol
3 - 2
Real Valladolid
VAD
54%
21%
25%
78 81 3 0
05 Nov. 1950
MUR
Real Murcia
0 - 0
Espanyol
ESP
46%
23%
31%
78 68 10 0
29 Oct. 1950
ESP
Espanyol
4 - 3
Atlético
ATM
39%
23%
39%
78 87 9 0
22 Oct. 1950
ATH
Athletic
4 - 2
Espanyol
ESP
85%
9%
6%
78 86 8 0

Matches

Celta
Celta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 1950
CEL
Celta
2 - 1
CD Málaga
MAL
73%
15%
12%
82 77 5 0
12 Nov. 1950
CEL
Celta
2 - 2
Barcelona
FCB
48%
21%
31%
81 88 7 +1
05 Nov. 1950
RAC
Racing
2 - 1
Celta
CEL
50%
21%
29%
82 75 7 -1
29 Oct. 1950
CEL
Celta
0 - 1
Real Valladolid
VAD
67%
17%
16%
82 81 1 0
22 Oct. 1950
MUR
Real Murcia
1 - 2
Celta
CEL
37%
23%
41%
82 68 14 0