España U21 vs Marruecos U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
España U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1985 |
ESP
2 - 0
BGR
56%
21%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1985 |
ITA
1 - 1
ESP
62%
20%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1985 |
ESP
0 - 0
HUN
59%
20%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1984 |
ENG
2 - 0
ESP
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1984 |
ESP
0 - 1
ENG
76%
15%
10%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |