Spain U21 vs Kazakhstan U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
0
13.6%
4.7%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2008 |
ESP
2 - 0
FRA
48%
26%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
ESP
3 - 0
POL
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
POL
0 - 2
ESP
25%
26%
50%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
ESP
4 - 0
GEO
81%
14%
5%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2007 |
GEO
0 - 1
ESP
15%
23%
62%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Kazakhstan U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
KAZ
4 - 1
GEO
47%
25%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
RUS
4 - 0
KAZ
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
POL
1 - 0
KAZ
73%
16%
11%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
GEO
2 - 1
KAZ
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
KAZ
0 - 1
RUS
20%
21%
58%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |