European U21 Championship qualifying Group G Round 1

España U21 vs Francia U21 analysis

España U21 Francia U21
83 ELO 79
-19.2% Tilt -3%
191º General ELO ranking 447º
22º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
59%
España U21
22.3%
Draw
18.7%
Francia U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
España U21
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.7%
Win probability
Francia U21
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
España U21
-8%
-3%
Francia U21

ELO progression

España U21
Francia U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

España U21
España U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Feb. 2001
ENG
Inglaterra U21
0 - 4
España U21
ESP
30%
26%
45%
82 74 8 0
14 Nov. 2000
ESP
España U21
2 - 0
Países Bajos U21
NED
72%
17%
11%
82 71 11 0
10 Oct. 2000
AUT
Austria U21
2 - 1
España U21
ESP
9%
21%
70%
82 56 26 0
06 Oct. 2000
ESP
España U21
1 - 0
Israel U21
ISR
81%
13%
6%
82 63 19 0
01 Sep. 2000
BIH
Bosnia U21
0 - 2
España U21
ESP
9%
20%
71%
82 53 29 0

Matches

Francia U21
Francia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Feb. 2001
ISR
Israel U21
3 - 4
Francia U21
FRA
23%
26%
51%
79 63 16 0
15 Nov. 2000
BIH
Bosnia U21
0 - 1
Francia U21
FRA
12%
22%
66%
78 53 25 +1
06 Oct. 2000
FRA
Francia U21
2 - 1
Austria U21
AUT
84%
12%
4%
78 56 22 0
03 Sep. 2000
FRA
Francia U21
3 - 0
Israel U21
ISR
76%
16%
8%
78 63 15 0
17 Nov. 1999
ITA
Italia U21
2 - 1
Francia U21
FRA
58%
22%
20%
78 80 2 0