U21 EC Qualifying Play-offs. Final
Global 5-1
Spain U21 vs Croatia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
POL
0 - 1
ESP
20%
24%
56%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2010 |
ESP
2 - 1
NLD
58%
23%
18%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
FIN
1 - 1
ESP
14%
22%
64%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
ESP
3 - 1
LIE
87%
11%
2%
|
81 | 5 | 76 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
NLD
2 - 1
ESP
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
SRB
2 - 2
HRV
45%
24%
31%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
HRV
4 - 1
NOR
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2010 |
HRV
1 - 1
SVK
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
FRA
3 - 1
HRV
74%
16%
10%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
SVK
1 - 2
HRV
33%
25%
42%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |