Spain U20s vs Honduras U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U20s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 2
ESP
25%
25%
50%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2009 |
FRA
1 - 2
ESP
21%
23%
56%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2009 |
ESP
3 - 0
ALB
80%
14%
7%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 2
TUN
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
EGY
2 - 0
ESP
19%
23%
59%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Honduras U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
HND
2 - 1
TTO
66%
19%
15%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
CRI
0 - 0
HND
67%
19%
14%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
JAM
0 - 4
HND
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
USA
0 - 0
HND
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2009 |
HND
3 - 1
VYG
76%
15%
9%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |