EsPa vs EPS II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.2%
22.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EsPa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
LJS
1 - 2
ESP
10%
14%
77%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
ESP
1 - 1
FCE
63%
18%
19%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
ESP
0 - 0
GRI
73%
15%
13%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
NUP
3 - 1
ESP
41%
21%
38%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
TOO
2 - 1
ESP
25%
19%
56%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
EPS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
EPS
0 - 2
EBK
20%
18%
62%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
EPS
2 - 3
NUP
29%
20%
52%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
HIF
2 - 0
EPS
35%
22%
43%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
EPS
3 - 0
FCE
59%
19%
22%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
TOO
4 - 2
EPS
28%
20%
52%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |