ESMTK vs Kazincbarcika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
57.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ESMTK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
RAK
1 - 2
ESM
67%
18%
15%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ESM
0 - 1
MON
34%
24%
42%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
BKV
1 - 3
ESM
62%
21%
18%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ESM
3 - 2
SAL
33%
23%
44%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
UJP
1 - 3
ESM
21%
23%
56%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Kazincbarcika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
KAZ
3 - 1
DEB
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
HAJ
0 - 2
KAZ
17%
21%
62%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
KAZ
1 - 1
MTK
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
TAL
3 - 3
KAZ
24%
21%
55%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
KAZ
2 - 1
REA
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |