ESMTK vs Dabas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ESMTK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
MON
0 - 1
ESM
23%
22%
55%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ESM
1 - 0
HOD
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ESM
2 - 1
BTT
67%
19%
15%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
GYU
1 - 3
ESM
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ESM
2 - 3
KTE
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Dabas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
DAB
2 - 1
BTT
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
GYU
1 - 0
DAB
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
DAB
0 - 3
KTE
43%
23%
34%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
DAB
1 - 0
SZO
32%
25%
44%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
SOR
1 - 1
DAB
63%
22%
16%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |