Escuela Bauger vs Vega Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Escuela Bauger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 1
ESC
45%
27%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ESC
0 - 0
BAR
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
RFC
1 - 3
ESC
28%
25%
48%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ESC
1 - 0
AFC
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CFC
3 - 0
ESC
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vega Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2016 |
AVR
3 - 2
MOC
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
AVR
3 - 1
RFC
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
AFC
2 - 0
AVR
42%
28%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 3
AVR
46%
25%
28%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 2
AVR
51%
26%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |