Eschenbach vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
47.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eschenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
FCA
2 - 0
ESC
47%
23%
31%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ESC
0 - 4
BAS
4%
11%
85%
|
23 | 85 | 62 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LSS
3 - 2
ESC
65%
19%
16%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
ESC
3 - 2
EMM
38%
24%
38%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FCB
2 - 0
ESC
39%
24%
38%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
HER
1 - 3
LOC
13%
17%
70%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
EMM
1 - 3
HER
41%
23%
36%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
HER
1 - 1
FCB
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
VED
1 - 4
HER
23%
22%
55%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
HER
2 - 0
BUO
33%
23%
44%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +2 |