ESC vs SDV Barneveld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
69.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ESC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
DOS
3 - 0
ESC
80%
14%
7%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ESC
1 - 1
WVF
14%
20%
67%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
NSC
4 - 1
ESC
85%
11%
5%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ESC
0 - 1
AZS
12%
19%
69%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
DOS
4 - 1
ESC
79%
13%
8%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SDV Barneveld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
OLD
2 - 6
SDV
37%
24%
38%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SDV
2 - 0
DOS
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
WVF
0 - 0
SDV
24%
24%
52%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SDV
0 - 2
NSC
64%
19%
17%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
AZS
3 - 1
SDV
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -2 |