Esbjerg vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
RAN
4 - 0
ESB
40%
26%
33%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
ESB
1 - 2
OBK
31%
25%
43%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
FCN
1 - 0
ESB
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ESB
2 - 1
KBK
83%
13%
5%
|
78 | 43 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ESB
0 - 0
RAN
53%
24%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
AGF
0 - 0
FCK
28%
26%
46%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
RAN
2 - 1
AGF
51%
26%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
OBK
2 - 0
AGF
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2010 |
AGF
1 - 2
SIF
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
FCK
5 - 0
AGF
68%
20%
13%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |