ES Mostaganem vs RC Kouba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+67%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
4º
2º
34
10º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Mostaganem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
ESM
0 - 1
ETO
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
SKA
1 - 0
ESM
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
ESM
1 - 1
MOS
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
ESM
3 - 0
GCM
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
TEM
2 - 2
ESM
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
RC Kouba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
TIA
3 - 0
KOU
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
KOU
0 - 2
ASM
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
MCS
2 - 1
KOU
30%
27%
43%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
KOU
1 - 0
BOU
55%
25%
21%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
RCR
0 - 1
KOU
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |