Erzgebirge Aue II vs Possneck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
ERZ
2 - 0
SCH
76%
16%
9%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
DYN
2 - 1
ERZ
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ERZ
1 - 2
BUD
42%
26%
32%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
RBL
3 - 2
ERZ
84%
13%
4%
|
34 | 74 | 40 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ERZ
0 - 1
BDR
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Possneck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
SCH
0 - 0
POS
25%
24%
51%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
LOK
3 - 0
POS
77%
16%
8%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
POS
1 - 3
DYN
28%
24%
48%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
BUD
1 - 0
POS
65%
21%
14%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
POS
0 - 3
RBL
9%
21%
70%
|
27 | 74 | 47 | 0 |