Erstein vs Strasbourg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
79.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
12%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
FCM
3 - 0
ERS
91%
7%
2%
|
9 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ERS
1 - 4
PAG
11%
18%
71%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ERS
0 - 1
SPI
6%
14%
80%
|
12 | 49 | 37 | -2 |
Matches
Strasbourg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
STR
3 - 0
SAR
48%
23%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
STR
1 - 3
LUN
60%
20%
20%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
SAR
0 - 1
STR
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
STR
3 - 0
VAU
79%
13%
8%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
MEZ
0 - 2
STR
29%
22%
48%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |