Third Division VFV A Round 8

Erpe-Mere United vs Torhout analysis

Erpe-Mere United Torhout
35 ELO 38
-5% Tilt -10.2%
8717º General ELO ranking 4754º
225º Country ELO ranking 103º
ELO win probability
31.3%
Erpe-Mere United
22.1%
Draw
46.7%
Torhout

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
Erpe-Mere United
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
46.7%
Win probability
Torhout
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Erpe-Mere United
+59%
-27%
Torhout

Points and table prediction

Erpe-Mere United
Their league position
Torhout
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
14º
18º
18º
41
10º
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sporting Lokeren
70
71
100%
Sparta Petegem
59
62
100%
Oostkamp
55
58
75%
Merelbeke
53
56
41.5%
KRC Gent
53
54
49.5%
Jong Essevee
50
53
41%
Cercle Brugge U21
52
52
44%
Eendracht Aalst
51
51
55.5%
Dikkelvenne
50
50
58.5%
Oudenaarde
10º
49
49
10º
100%
Gullegem
13º
41
44
11º
21.5%
Olsa Brakel
14º
41
44
12º
31%
Torhout
12º
41
42
13º
23.5%
Zelzate
11º
42
42
14º
21.5%
Racing Club Harelbeke
15º
38
38
15º
71.5%
Westhoek
16º
35
36
16º
100%
Standaard Wetteren
17º
32
32
17º
100%
Erpe-Mere United
18º
9
9
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Erpe-Mere United
Torhout
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Possible next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Erpe-Mere United
Torhout
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Erpe-Mere United
Erpe-Mere United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2022
EEA
Eendracht Aalst
1 - 0
Erpe-Mere United
EMU
80%
14%
6%
34 50 16 0
08 Oct. 2022
EMU
Erpe-Mere United
0 - 1
Cercle Brugge U21
CER
45%
22%
34%
35 36 1 -1
01 Oct. 2022
KSC
Sporting Lokeren
3 - 0
Erpe-Mere United
EMU
71%
19%
10%
36 49 13 -1
24 Sep. 2022
EMU
Erpe-Mere United
1 - 1
Gullegem
GUL
31%
22%
46%
35 42 7 +1
18 Sep. 2022
WES
Westhoek
2 - 1
Erpe-Mere United
EMU
63%
18%
19%
36 38 2 -1

Matches

Torhout
Torhout
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2022
TOR
Torhout
4 - 1
Sparta Petegem
SPA
12%
17%
71%
37 53 16 0
09 Oct. 2022
TOR
Torhout
1 - 2
Eendracht Aalst
EEA
20%
22%
58%
39 50 11 -2
02 Oct. 2022
ZEL
Zelzate
1 - 0
Torhout
TOR
61%
21%
18%
40 44 4 -1
24 Sep. 2022
TOR
Torhout
0 - 1
Cercle Brugge U21
CER
66%
18%
17%
40 34 6 0
18 Sep. 2022
GUL
Gullegem
0 - 0
Torhout
TOR
49%
24%
27%
40 42 2 0