Ermis Kiveri vs PAO Vardas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
36.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ermis Kiveri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
PAN
3 - 0
EKI
75%
16%
8%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
EKI
1 - 2
ACH
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
EKI
1 - 2
ZAK
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
VYZ
0 - 0
EKI
32%
24%
45%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
EKI
3 - 0
KYM
71%
17%
12%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
PAO Vardas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
PAO
0 - 0
ZAK
38%
26%
36%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
VYZ
3 - 1
PAO
28%
24%
48%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
PAO
3 - 0
KYM
74%
17%
10%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PAN
1 - 1
PAO
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
PAO
1 - 0
LOU
38%
26%
35%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |