Oberliga Bayern North Round 19

Erlangen-Bruck vs Schweinfurt analysis

Erlangen-Bruck Schweinfurt
22 ELO 40
13.8% Tilt 3.6%
29138º General ELO ranking 1933º
853º Country ELO ranking 85º
ELO win probability
16%
Erlangen-Bruck
20.4%
Draw
63.7%
Schweinfurt

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
Erlangen-Bruck
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
63.7%
Win probability
Schweinfurt
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Erlangen-Bruck
-7%
+23%
Schweinfurt

ELO progression

Erlangen-Bruck
Schweinfurt
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Erlangen-Bruck
Erlangen-Bruck
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2012
DJJ
DJK Bamberg
2 - 3
Erlangen-Bruck
ERB
35%
24%
41%
22 20 2 0
27 Oct. 2012
MEM
Memmelsdorf
3 - 0
Erlangen-Bruck
ERB
41%
24%
35%
24 21 3 -2
21 Oct. 2012
ERB
Erlangen-Bruck
2 - 2
Grossbardorf
GRO
31%
24%
45%
23 31 8 +1
14 Oct. 2012
TRO
Trogen
4 - 0
Erlangen-Bruck
ERB
16%
20%
64%
25 14 11 -2
06 Oct. 2012
ERB
Erlangen-Bruck
1 - 1
Kleinrinderfeld
KLE
82%
12%
6%
26 15 11 -1

Matches

Schweinfurt
Schweinfurt
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Nov. 2012
SCH
Schweinfurt
3 - 2
Würzburger FV
WUR
68%
18%
14%
38 33 5 0
26 Oct. 2012
SCH
Schweinfurt
4 - 0
Selbitz
SEL
86%
9%
4%
38 18 20 0
21 Oct. 2012
HOL
Hollfeld
0 - 5
Schweinfurt
SCH
12%
18%
70%
38 18 20 0
13 Oct. 2012
SCH
Schweinfurt
1 - 1
Aubstadt
AUB
73%
15%
12%
38 30 8 0
06 Oct. 2012
AHA
Alemannia Haibach
1 - 2
Schweinfurt
SCH
20%
21%
58%
38 25 13 0