Erlangen-Bruck vs Bayreuth II SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.1%
4.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+197%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erlangen-Bruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ANS
5 - 1
ERB
87%
9%
4%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
ERB
4 - 2
BAI
59%
20%
22%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SVU
4 - 2
ERB
39%
22%
39%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
SCG
0 - 1
ERB
57%
20%
23%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ERB
2 - 3
JFO
38%
22%
40%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth II SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
BSV
2 - 3
SVM
18%
20%
63%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
BSV
1 - 4
JFO
11%
15%
75%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
SCS
2 - 0
BSV
86%
9%
4%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
VFR
3 - 1
BSV
59%
20%
22%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BSV
3 - 4
FCH
17%
18%
65%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |