SpVgg Erkenschwick vs Hamborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
20%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
S04
0 - 2
ERK
60%
19%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
ERK
0 - 4
BVB
50%
22%
29%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
ERK
5 - 1
SRW
47%
23%
30%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
TSG
6 - 3
ERK
67%
18%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
ERK
2 - 0
ROT
62%
19%
19%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hamborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
HAM
1 - 1
SRW
57%
20%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
TSG
4 - 1
HAM
65%
19%
17%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
HAM
1 - 2
SHE
65%
18%
17%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
ROT
2 - 1
HAM
55%
21%
24%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
HAM
1 - 2
ROT
71%
16%
13%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |