SpVgg Erkenschwick vs Eintracht Rheine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
22.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-78%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
2º
17º
4º
29
9º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
79% | |
|
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
79% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ERK
8 - 1
SFB
39%
22%
38%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
TVC
2 - 5
ERK
37%
22%
41%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GIE
0 - 0
ERK
59%
21%
21%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
CON
2 - 2
ERK
37%
22%
41%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ERK
5 - 0
VEL
19%
20%
61%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Eintracht Rheine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PRE
2 - 2
ERH
73%
15%
12%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ERH
1 - 1
SPO
31%
23%
46%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ERH
3 - 0
SPR
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ERH
0 - 4
WAT
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
BGH
2 - 4
ERH
34%
22%
45%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +2 |