Erizana vs SP Guardes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
35.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erizana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
DOM
2 - 4
ERI
47%
21%
31%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ERI
4 - 4
GRA
30%
24%
47%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
PON
4 - 1
ERI
74%
15%
10%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
MOS
1 - 3
ERI
49%
23%
28%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ERI
0 - 1
POR
11%
17%
72%
|
5 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SP Guardes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 2
GRA
52%
23%
25%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 1
MOS
73%
17%
11%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 1
LGU
40%
23%
37%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 3
MAR
79%
14%
7%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ARC
2 - 1
GUA
58%
21%
21%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |