Erith Town vs Burgess Hill Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
43.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erith Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
ERI
3 - 3
WHY
31%
21%
47%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
WHY
1 - 1
ERI
59%
19%
21%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
ERI
5 - 0
ROC
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
ROC
1 - 1
ERI
15%
18%
66%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
AFC
0 - 2
ERI
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Burgess Hill Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
BUR
4 - 1
WOR
49%
22%
29%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
BIL
6 - 1
BUR
78%
15%
8%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
BUR
1 - 1
FOL
32%
23%
45%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2017 |
KIN
0 - 0
BUR
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
BUR
1 - 1
NEE
37%
23%
39%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |