ER Novillars vs Vénissieux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
54.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ER Novillars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
EVI
4 - 0
ERN
79%
14%
8%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ERN
0 - 3
SAI
28%
24%
48%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
COU
0 - 2
ERN
58%
22%
21%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ERN
2 - 1
CHA
43%
24%
32%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Vénissieux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
VEN
3 - 2
PON
48%
27%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
THI
1 - 2
VEN
26%
26%
48%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
VEN
0 - 2
CSL
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
VEN
1 - 0
CHA
35%
28%
37%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +3 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
NIC
3 - 2
VEN
37%
27%
36%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |