Copa Colombia Group D Round 3

La Equidad vs Millonarios analysis

La Equidad Millonarios
77 ELO 77
-9.1% Tilt -15%
614º General ELO ranking 543º
18º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
44.2%
La Equidad
26.1%
Draw
29.7%
Millonarios

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
La Equidad
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.7%
Win probability
Millonarios
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
La Equidad
-25%
+7%
Millonarios

ELO progression

La Equidad
Millonarios
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

La Equidad
La Equidad
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Mar. 2012
EQU
La Equidad
2 - 1
Deportes Quindío
QUI
58%
25%
17%
77 71 6 0
05 Mar. 2012
IND
Independiente Medellín
0 - 1
La Equidad
EQU
50%
26%
24%
76 75 1 +1
25 Feb. 2012
EQU
La Equidad
4 - 1
Cúcuta Deportivo
CUC
57%
25%
17%
75 68 7 +1
22 Feb. 2012
EQU
La Equidad
2 - 1
Santa Fe
SFE
38%
27%
35%
75 78 3 0
18 Feb. 2012
TOL
Deportes Tolima
1 - 1
La Equidad
EQU
59%
25%
17%
75 81 6 0

Matches

Millonarios
Millonarios
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 2012
CAL
Deportivo Cali
1 - 0
Millonarios
MIL
52%
25%
23%
78 82 4 0
04 Mar. 2012
MIL
Millonarios
1 - 1
Real Cartagena
CAR
70%
19%
11%
78 68 10 0
26 Feb. 2012
ONC
Once Caldas
0 - 0
Millonarios
MIL
57%
23%
20%
77 81 4 +1
23 Feb. 2012
ACA
Academia
5 - 2
Millonarios
MIL
22%
24%
53%
78 63 15 -1
19 Feb. 2012
MIL
Millonarios
2 - 3
At. Nacional
NAC
41%
26%
33%
79 82 3 -1