La Equidad vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
45.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
AGU
4 - 0
EQU
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
EQU
0 - 1
JAG
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
EQU
0 - 2
SFE
33%
28%
40%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SFE
1 - 1
EQU
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
SFE
1 - 0
EQU
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 2
COR
64%
22%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ENV
1 - 0
TOL
35%
28%
36%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 0
CAL
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 1
HUI
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
TOL
47%
26%
28%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -2 |