Civil Sporting vs Kamuzu Barracks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Civil Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
EPA
1 - 0
MOY
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
EVI
0 - 0
EPA
54%
23%
24%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MTL
2 - 1
EPA
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
BLA
1 - 3
EPA
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BUL
3 - 0
EPA
52%
24%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kamuzu Barracks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
KAM
1 - 1
RED
52%
24%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
KAM
0 - 0
SIL
49%
24%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MPO
2 - 5
KAM
52%
23%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
KAM
0 - 1
SIL
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
KAM
2 - 1
AZT
53%
24%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |