Apertura Colombia Round 11

Envigado vs Once Caldas analysis

Envigado Once Caldas
72 ELO 75
-11.3% Tilt -14.6%
807º General ELO ranking 563º
24º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
37%
Envigado
28.4%
Draw
34.7%
Once Caldas

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
Envigado
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
34.6%
Win probability
Once Caldas
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Envigado
-1%
+9%
Once Caldas

ELO progression

Envigado
Once Caldas
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Envigado
Envigado
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2008
SFE
Santa Fe
3 - 0
Envigado
ENV
53%
26%
21%
72 72 0 0
23 Mar. 2008
ENV
Envigado
1 - 0
Junior
JUN
30%
28%
42%
71 82 11 +1
16 Mar. 2008
ENV
Envigado
1 - 1
Atlético Huila
HUI
46%
27%
26%
71 71 0 0
09 Mar. 2008
CHI
Boyacá Chicó
1 - 1
Envigado
ENV
52%
27%
21%
71 74 3 0
02 Mar. 2008
ENV
Envigado
0 - 1
Deportivo Pasto
PAS
42%
28%
31%
72 75 3 -1

Matches

Once Caldas
Once Caldas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2008
ONC
Once Caldas
2 - 0
Atlético Bucaramanga
BUC
54%
25%
21%
76 70 6 0
23 Mar. 2008
ONC
Once Caldas
1 - 1
Deportivo Pereira
PER
59%
24%
17%
76 68 8 0
16 Mar. 2008
QUI
Deportes Quindío
1 - 2
Once Caldas
ONC
41%
28%
32%
75 71 4 +1
08 Mar. 2008
SFE
Santa Fe
0 - 1
Once Caldas
ONC
46%
26%
28%
75 72 3 0
02 Mar. 2008
ONC
Once Caldas
1 - 1
Atlético Huila
HUI
55%
25%
20%
75 70 5 0