Apertura Playoffs Four-team tournament Round 3

Envigado vs Independiente Medellín analysis

Envigado Independiente Medellín
68 ELO 76
-5.1% Tilt -9.5%
819º General ELO ranking 542º
25º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
29.5%
Envigado
25%
Draw
45.5%
Independiente Medellín

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
Envigado
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
45.5%
Win probability
Independiente Medellín
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Envigado
Independiente Medellín
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Envigado
Envigado
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jun. 2022
EQU
La Equidad
2 - 0
Envigado
ENV
49%
26%
25%
68 73 5 0
21 May. 2022
ENV
Envigado
1 - 4
Deportes Tolima
TOL
31%
27%
42%
69 80 11 -1
15 May. 2022
TOL
Deportes Tolima
1 - 1
Envigado
ENV
62%
24%
15%
69 81 12 0
08 May. 2022
ENV
Envigado
1 - 0
Águilas Doradas
AGU
41%
28%
32%
68 69 1 +1
02 May. 2022
JUN
Junior
4 - 0
Envigado
ENV
65%
22%
13%
69 81 12 -1

Matches

Independiente Medellín
Independiente Medellín
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jun. 2022
TOL
Deportes Tolima
0 - 0
Independiente Medellín
IND
53%
25%
23%
76 81 5 0
25 May. 2022
IND
Independiente Medellín
1 - 1
Guaireña
GUA
48%
26%
26%
76 76 0 0
22 May. 2022
IND
Independiente Medellín
2 - 0
La Equidad
EQU
48%
26%
27%
76 74 2 0
18 May. 2022
SCI
Internacional
2 - 0
Independiente Medellín
IND
68%
19%
14%
76 86 10 0
15 May. 2022
IND
Independiente Medellín
1 - 0
Deportivo Pasto
PAS
55%
26%
19%
76 68 8 0