Apertura Colombia Round 3

Envigado vs La Equidad analysis

Envigado La Equidad
67 ELO 76
8.4% Tilt 6.6%
803º General ELO ranking 611º
24º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
36.3%
Envigado
27.4%
Draw
36.2%
La Equidad

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
Envigado
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
36.2%
Win probability
La Equidad
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Envigado
-4%
-21%
La Equidad

ELO progression

Envigado
La Equidad
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Envigado
Envigado
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Feb. 2011
ENV
Envigado
2 - 2
Águilas Doradas
AGU
41%
26%
33%
67 73 6 0
06 Feb. 2011
NAC
At. Nacional
2 - 3
Envigado
ENV
67%
21%
12%
66 80 14 +1
14 Nov. 2010
ENV
Envigado
2 - 2
Junior
JUN
28%
27%
45%
66 82 16 0
07 Nov. 2010
QUI
Deportes Quindío
3 - 2
Envigado
ENV
56%
25%
20%
67 73 6 -1
31 Oct. 2010
ENV
Envigado
2 - 2
Deportivo Cali
CAL
29%
27%
44%
67 82 15 0

Matches

La Equidad
La Equidad
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2011
PER
Deportivo Pereira
0 - 1
La Equidad
EQU
40%
27%
32%
76 71 5 0
12 Feb. 2011
EQU
La Equidad
1 - 1
At. Nacional
NAC
36%
27%
37%
76 79 3 0
12 Dec. 2010
HUI
Atlético Huila
2 - 1
La Equidad
EQU
52%
24%
24%
76 75 1 0
08 Dec. 2010
EQU
La Equidad
0 - 1
Santa Fe
SFE
44%
26%
30%
77 78 1 -1
05 Dec. 2010
EQU
La Equidad
1 - 0
Deportes Tolima
TOL
40%
26%
34%
76 81 5 +1