Apertura Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Envigado vs La Equidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2011 |
EQU
1 - 0
ENV
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
ENV
2 - 0
PER
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
ONC
2 - 1
ENV
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
QUI
3 - 3
ENV
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
ENV
0 - 0
TOL
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2011 |
EQU
1 - 0
ENV
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
EQU
1 - 0
QUI
55%
25%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
EQU
4 - 1
SFE
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
TOL
2 - 0
EQU
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
EQU
0 - 0
CAR
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |