Envigado vs Bogotá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2007 |
UNI
0 - 0
ENV
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
ENV
2 - 0
AFC
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2007 |
CEN
1 - 1
ENV
30%
30%
40%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
ENV
0 - 0
SFC
68%
21%
12%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
ALI
1 - 2
ENV
19%
28%
53%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2007 |
BOG
1 - 0
AFC
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
BOG
1 - 0
UNI
44%
27%
28%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2007 |
SAB
0 - 1
BOG
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
BOG
2 - 0
AFC
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
CEN
1 - 0
BOG
38%
28%
33%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |