Clausura Colombia . Jor. 17

Envigado vs Atlético Bucaramanga analysis

Envigado Atlético Bucaramanga
76 ELO 72
-14.8% Tilt -6.2%
876º General ELO ranking 409º
23º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
49.6%
Envigado
26.4%
Draw
24%
Atlético Bucaramanga

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
Envigado
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
24%
Win probability
Atlético Bucaramanga
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Envigado
+4%
+29%
Atlético Bucaramanga

ELO progression

Envigado
Atlético Bucaramanga
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Envigado
Envigado
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 2016
MIL
Millonarios
4 - 1
Envigado
ENV
58%
24%
19%
77 80 3 0
09 Oct. 2016
ENV
Envigado
3 - 1
Boyacá Chicó
CHI
63%
23%
14%
77 61 16 0
25 Sep. 2016
ONC
Once Caldas
2 - 0
Envigado
ENV
52%
25%
23%
77 78 1 0
18 Sep. 2016
ENV
Envigado
0 - 0
At. Nacional
NAC
36%
28%
36%
77 80 3 0
15 Sep. 2016
FOR
Fortaleza
1 - 2
Envigado
ENV
28%
29%
44%
77 65 12 0

Matches

Atlético Bucaramanga
Atlético Bucaramanga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 2016
BUC
Atlético Bucaramanga
3 - 0
Junior
JUN
28%
29%
43%
72 79 7 0
01 Oct. 2016
CAL
Deportivo Cali
2 - 1
Atlético Bucaramanga
BUC
59%
23%
18%
72 77 5 0
17 Sep. 2016
BUC
Atlético Bucaramanga
2 - 0
Boyacá Chicó
CHI
58%
25%
17%
73 61 12 -1
14 Sep. 2016
ONC
Once Caldas
3 - 0
Atlético Bucaramanga
BUC
54%
24%
22%
74 76 2 -1
10 Sep. 2016
BUC
Atlético Bucaramanga
2 - 2
At. Nacional
NAC
29%
29%
42%
73 80 7 +1
X