Emulation vs Etoile de Basse-Pointe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emulation
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
EMU
1 - 0
USR
48%
24%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 1
EMU
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
EMU
1 - 2
AIG
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CLU
4 - 0
EMU
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
AVP
1 - 1
EMU
51%
23%
26%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Etoile de Basse-Pointe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
RCR
2 - 2
EBP
54%
23%
24%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
AIG
3 - 0
EBP
54%
23%
24%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
EBP
0 - 2
CLU
50%
23%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
EBP
5 - 1
GOL
50%
24%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
USR
1 - 0
EBP
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |