Emulation vs Vert-Pré analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emulation
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CAS
3 - 1
EMU
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
GOL
1 - 3
EMU
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
EMU
0 - 1
RCR
47%
24%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CLU
2 - 1
EMU
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
EMU
0 - 1
EBP
48%
24%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vert-Pré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
AVP
0 - 1
RCR
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
CLU
0 - 0
AVP
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
AVP
1 - 0
EBP
49%
24%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
USR
1 - 0
AVP
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
AVP
2 - 1
SAM
49%
24%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |