Empoli vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 1
EMP
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
VER
0 - 0
EMP
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
EMP
1 - 0
CTT
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
VIC
1 - 5
EMP
29%
27%
44%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
EMP
1 - 0
CES
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 1
EMP
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 1
VIR
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
LEO
1 - 2
NOV
11%
22%
67%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 1
BAR
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
PAD
3 - 3
NOV
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |