Emmenbrücke vs Black Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
59.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
12º
16º
15º
58
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 61 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 61 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
45% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
44.5% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 54 |
6º
|
89.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
52% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
11º
|
33% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 32 |
13º
|
32% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
59% | |
|
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 61.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 17% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emmenbrücke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
EMM
0 - 0
CON
15%
18%
67%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
THU
1 - 1
EMM
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MUN
2 - 3
EMM
75%
15%
11%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
EMM
0 - 1
MUT
31%
20%
49%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
RTK
2 - 0
EMM
78%
13%
9%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Black Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 6
BLA
27%
25%
49%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BLA
2 - 2
SOL
44%
23%
33%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BLA
4 - 1
LAC
49%
23%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BLA
6 - 0
FCM
76%
14%
10%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CON
2 - 0
BLA
60%
20%
20%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |